Daily Talk

A Rare Opportunity in Chip Stocks

April 15, 2018

I have been investing in the semiconductor space for years, and it’s almost always feast or famine – serious highs or portfolio-crushing lows. Stocks in this industry can be very volatile, and we’ve seen this play out first hand recently. Semiconductors had been on fire through the early part of this year but last month two specific events started weighing on the sector. Let me explain each, although the good news is that I think they’re both more noise than real issues.

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The Ultimate Buy Signal

April 13, 2018

Since peaking on January 26, the stock market has been on a wild yet contained ride that saw the S&P 500 hit a low on February 8 and then retest and hold that same level on April 2. That double bottom was the first part of a potential buy signal. The other part of that signal would come with the index taking out previous high points where rally attempts had fizzled. Well, that happened yesterday.

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The AMZN Effect

April 8, 2018

In this age of Amazon (AMZN), I have just one question: Are we fading from a nation of shopkeepers into a nation of simply shoppers? I’m very worried about America becoming a nation of worker ants content to get bargains at the cost of jobs and individual opportunities. Globalists continue to say that AMZN is great because it brings a deflationary aspect to consumers and the economy, but there are aspects to the situation that have a Faustian element.

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Staying Ready for the Challenges Ahead

April 6, 2018

Well, it didn’t happen at all in the month of March, but after ushering in April with a shower of losses, the market rallied yesterday for its third consecutive session, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As impressive as the week has been for the market, the chart underscores that there are additional challenges for the rally to get back on track. The Dow has rallied to a series of lower high points and needs to close about 25,000 in order to reverse that trend.

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Best Stocks for 2018 Update: MOS is a Great Company at a Great Price

April 1, 2018

It’s been an up-down-up-down-up-down first quarter in the market, but the key is to keep our focus on the economy and the fundamentals, which are what ultimately drive stocks. These are the kinds of environments that give us the chance to get into great companies at great prices. Speaking of great companies, it’s time to update you on Mosaic (MOS).

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Sage Advice

March 30, 2018

We are living in interesting times where news platforms have become weaponized – they are more so used to annihilate a competing point of view than to promote affirmations of a favored ideology. This skewed analysis of the world has actually made the world more skewed itself. Nowhere else are we seeing this other than in the financial world and the stock market.

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If You Sold CAT, You Made a Huge Mistake!

March 25, 2018

Caterpillar (CAT), which was the second best performer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2017, has come under a fair amount of pressure so far this year due in part to tariff saber-rattling on industrial metals. The company derives 70% of its revenue from outside the United States, so whether it’s related to metals or the $60 billion in tariffs on other items there’s a chance it could come in the crosshairs of retaliation.

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The Volatility Heightens

March 23, 2018

On January 26, President Trump took his show on the road to the mecca of globalism and the annual confab of elites in Davos, Switzerland. Ironically, the president was treated like a rock star at the gathering, where the general conclusion was that he was a pragmatist. Perhaps it’s not so ironic, though, that January 26 was the day the stock market reached its last all-time high.

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A Market Driven by Headlines

March 16, 2018

Although the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished higher yesterday, it was tough sledding for the market, which saw two significant rally attempts fizzle under a cacophony of headline issues that all add up to one big cloud of uncertainty and a source of anxiety. As elites from Washington to Wall Street cower at the thought of a so-called Trade War with China, that nation continues to gear up to win.

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ULTA is a $250 Stock

March 15, 2018

I’ll never forget a few years back when I dropped my wife off at an Ulta Beauty (ULTA) shop. It was like a vision, a field of dreams. Clearly ULTA isn’t the kind of store I frequent, but the first time I saw it I actually wanted to go inside. ULTA is the largest beauty retailer in the United States, and it has to be one of the most amazing one-stop shops for women.

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